Crab Research
経済学

利得情報が増えるときに生じる損失:内生的実行可能性の下での目的整合性

When More Payoff Information Hurts: Objective Alignment under Endogenous Feasibility

Li, Alex Chengyu

ワーキングペーパー · SSRN初回公開 改訂

研究概要

行動が将来の実行可能性を変えるとき、利得情報の改善が客観的厚生と目的の整合性にどう影響するかを研究する。

原文要旨(英語)

This paper develops a theory of objective information value when payoff information improves but an agent incompletely represents how current actions change future feasibility. For arbitrary finite decision problems, posterior convexity is the benchmark for objective welfare to respect every Blackwell refinement. With two actions and a genuine subjective switching boundary, we derive a primitive alignment characterization: robust monotonicity holds exactly when the agent's payoff gap and the objective payoff gap are nonnegatively proportional on the belief simplex. We then introduce an Irreversibility Decision Problem in which actions remove future paths. An information–feasibility mismatch makes every precision increase along a Blackwell-ordered Gaussian family reduce terminal welfare whenever immediate-reward and continuation-value rankings disagree. Observing the feasibility state and optimizing terminal reward restores monotonicity. An explicit cognition-weight model identifies a threshold at which payoff precision changes from harmful to beneficial and a moderate-signal region with a positive local information–knowledge cross-effect. A five-state instance shows why the optimal precision can be interior rather than zero.

公開要旨の出典

Social SciencesEconomicsvalue of informationBlackwell orderendogenous feasibilityobjective misspecificationirreversibilitybounded rationality
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